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Class Probabilities and Statistics

  • Presentation

    Presentation

    Provides a wide range of basic mathematical knowledge, skills and tools in the area of Probability and Statistics essential for Engineering studies.

  • Code

    Code

    ULHT46-620
  • Syllabus

    Syllabus

    Descriptive statistics: main measures of central, non-central tendency and of dispersion. Linear correlation and regression.

    Random experience. Event. Sample space. Algebra of events. Probability concepts (Laplace and Kolmogorov). Conditional probability. Independence.

    Discrete and continuous random variables. Probability and distribution functions. Mathematical expectation: mean, variance, and standard deviation.

    Discrete distributions. Uniform, Bernoulli, Binomial and Poisson distributions.

    Continuous distributions. Normal, Chi-square, t-student, and exponential distribution.

    Statistical inference. Sampling distributions. Central limit theorem.

    Range estimation. Confidence interval for the mean, known and unknown variance, large and small sample. Interval for the proportion.

    Tests of Hypotheses for the mean and the proportion.

  • Objectives

    Objectives

    Mastering the basic tools of descriptive statistics. Understand linear regression and correlation and interpret their results. Know and know how to calculate and interpret the most important statistical measures and identify their properties. Knowing how to calculate probabilities using Laplace's definition and Kolmogorov's axiomatization. Know how to calculate conditioned probability and apply the principles of multiplication, total probability and Bayes' theorem. Use the concept of random variable and operate with probability functions and distributions. Know the most important discrete and continuous distributions and some of their properties. Calculate confidence intervals and apply hypothesis tests and interpret the obtained results.

  • Teaching methodologies and assessment

    Teaching methodologies and assessment

    A series of exercises will be proposed aiming at consolidating knowledge and stimulating the ability to solve problems. The evaluation of the subject, expressed on a scale of 0 to 20 values, will be done at various times including 2 midterms (40%+50%) and individual work to be developed outside the classroom (10%). If the weighted average of these moments is equal to or greater than 9.5, the student will be successful in the course, otherwise the student will be able to take a global frequency (90%) to which the mentioned 10% will be added. In the final exam (100%) the student will be able to improve the grade. The minimum passing grade in this assessment is also 9.5. Assessment criteria are explained at the beginning of the semester.

  • References

    References

    Murteira, B. (2012), Probabilidades e Estatística, vols. I e II MacGraw-Hill.

    Murteira, B. (2007), Introdução à Estatística, MacGraw-Hill.

    Pedrosa, A.C., Gama, S.M. (2018), Introdução computacional à Probabilidade e Estatística, Porto Editora

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