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Class Probabilities and Statistics

  • Presentation

    Presentation

    Provides basic mathematical knowledge, skills and tools of probabilities and statistics, which are essential for future Engineers.

  • Code

    Code

    ULHT41-620
  • Syllabus

    Syllabus

    1. Descriptive statistics: measures of location, measures of dispersion. Graphic presentation. Linear correlation coefficient and linear regression.
    2. Random experiment. Events. Sample space. Algebra of events. Probability concepts (Laplace and Kolmogorov). Conditional probability. Independence. Bayes theorem.
    3. Discrete and Continuous random variables. Probability and distribuition functions. Mean value, variance and standard deviation.
    4. Discrete distributions: Uniform, Bernoulli, Binomial and Poisson distributions.
    5. Continuous distributions: Uniform, Normal, Exponential, Chi-square and t-Student distributions.
    6. Statistical inference. Sample distributions. Central limit theorem.
    7. Estimation by intervals. Confidence interval for mean (know and unknow variance, large and small sample). Confidence interval for variance and standard deviation. Confidence interval for proportion.
    8. Hypothesis Testing.
  • Objectives

    Objectives

    Be able to calculate and interpret the most important statistical measures and identify their properties. Learn how to calculate probabilities using Laplace's definition and Kolmogorov axiom. Learn how to calculate conditional probability and apply the principles of multiplication, total probability and Bayes' theorem. Be able to use the concept of random variable and to operate with probability functions and distributions. Know the most important discrete and continuos distributions and some of their properties. Calculate confidence intervals and apply hypothesis tests and interpret the obtained results.

  • Teaching methodologies and assessment

    Teaching methodologies and assessment

    The approach to the various topics is done by appealing to the active participation of the students. Students are encouraged to follow various resolution strategies when solving the exercises.

     

    Assessment of the course, expressed on a scale of 0 to 20. Evaluation and requirements:

    • Attendance, punctuality and positive participation in class: weight of 10%.
    • 2 written tests: weight of 45%
  • References

    References

    • Murteira,B., Antunes, M. - Probabilidades e Estatística, Vol I. Escolar Editora, 2012. ISBN: 9789725923559.
    • Murteira,B., Antunes, M. - Probabilidades e Estatística, Vol II. Escolar Editora, 2012. ISBN: 9789725923597.
    • Pedrosa, A., Gama, Sílvio. - Introdução Computacional à Probabilidade e Estatística Com Excel, 2016. ISBN: 978-972-0-01990-5.

     

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