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Presentation
Presentation
Provides basic knowledge, skills and essential tools of simulation and prediction.
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Class from course
Class from course
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Degree | Semesters | ECTS
Degree | Semesters | ECTS
Bachelor | Semestral | 5
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Year | Nature | Language
Year | Nature | Language
3 | Mandatory | Português
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Code
Code
ULHT41-22920
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Prerequisites and corequisites
Prerequisites and corequisites
Not applicable
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Professional Internship
Professional Internship
Não
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Syllabus
Syllabus
- Uncertainty and risk.
- Theoretical probability distributions.
- Basic concepts of simulation.
- Simulation methods.
- Simulation models.
- Scenario analysis.
- Basic concepts of prediction.
- Predictive analytics techniques.
- Regression analysis.
- Statistical classification.
- Time series.
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Objectives
Objectives
Understanding the differences between uncertainty and risk. Analyzing the behavior of systems that cannot be operationalized through actual experiments and predict their likely future behavior. Modeling and simulating systems. Determining risk from the dispersion derived from the estimation of the range of values that a target variable might take on a model. Understanding and applying diverse predictive methods. The student should acquire skills and competences allowing him or her to model, simulate, and predict real-world systems through analytical techniques. He or she should understand and apply the most relevant computational methods of simulation and prediction, know their relative advantages and drawbacks, model problems, get to know existing software for that purpose, and master how to apply them in practical problems.
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Teaching methodologies and assessment
Teaching methodologies and assessment
The course includes the use of interactive simulations, up-to-date case studies and participatory methods that encourage practical application and critical thinking on the part of the students. The aim is to promote dynamic and engaging learning, preparing students to face complex real-world challenges in the context of using techniques of this nature.
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References
References
- Assis, Rui - EXCEL na Simulação de Sistemas e Análise de Risco. Edição de autor, 2014. ISBN: 978-989-20-4412-5.
- Camm, Cochran, Fry, Ohlmann e Anderson - Business Analytics. 3.ª edição. Cengage Learning, 2018. ISBN: 978-1-337-40642-0.
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Office Hours
Office Hours
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Mobility
Mobility
Yes
